Structural research
Deep Market Analytics
Structural market research for long-term portfolio decisions. EU dependency, sector overextension, and physical economy signals.
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EU structural dependency
Bayesian shrinkage model estimating the structural dependency of European cycles on ECB policy, US spillover, and own-cycle dynamics.
Brussels / ECB
US spillover
Own cycle
Sector overextension · GDP vs market cap
Sectors trading significantly above their GDP contribution share.
Energy & physical economy signals
Electricity, oil, gas and freight — physical flows leading US GDP by 1–2 quarters.